
When Is the Next RBA Meeting? 2026 Schedule & Rate Decision Dates
If you’re watching Australia’s cash rate like a hawk, you already know the next RBA meeting is a big one. The Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Board convenes on June 16, 2026, and the decision at 2:30 PM AEST could signal whether relief for mortgage holders is finally on the way.
Next RBA meeting: June 16, 2026 ·
Meetings per year: 8 (since 2024) ·
Decision announcement time: 2:30 PM AEST ·
2026 schedule released: December 2025
Quick snapshot
- Next RBA meeting: June 16, 2026 (RBA Calendar – official schedule)
- Decision announced at 2:30 PM AEST (RBA Calendar) (RBA Calendar – official schedule)
- 8 meetings per year under the new Monetary Policy Board structure (Mozo – personal finance explainer) (RBA Calendar – official schedule)
- Exact timing of the next rate cut
- Magnitude of future rate changes
- First 2026 meeting: February 3 (unchanged)
- Most recent meeting: May 5 (unchanged)
- Next meeting: June 16, 2026
- Potential first cut: late 2026 (market expectation)
- June 16 decision: rate hold or cut? (Finder – expert survey track record)
- Minutes released two weeks after decision
- Governor’s press conference same day
These confirmed facts establish the next meeting date and the RBA’s meeting frequency for 2026.
| Detail | Value |
|---|---|
| Next meeting date | June 16, 2026 |
| 2026 meeting count | 8 (Monetary Policy Board) |
| Current cash rate | 4.35% (as of May 2026) |
| Next decision type | Monetary Policy Board |
| Decision time | 2:30 PM AEST |
What date is the next interest rate decision?
The next RBA interest rate decision is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The Monetary Policy Board meets over two days — June 15–16 — and announces its decision at 2:30 PM AEST on the second day (RBA Calendar – monetary policy calendar). This is the fourth of eight scheduled meetings in 2026.
Upcoming decision date
- Meeting: 15–16 June 2026
- Decision announcement: 2:30 PM AEST, 16 June 2026
- Minutes released: 2 July 2026
2026 decision schedule
The full slate of 2026 Monetary Policy Board decisions, all announced at 2:30 PM AEST on the second day:
- 3 February (no change)
- 17 March (no change)
- 5 May (no change)
- 16 June (next)
- 4 August
- 15 September
- 3 November
- 8 December
The implication: With four decisions already behind us and no cuts yet, the June meeting is the earliest remaining opportunity for the RBA to ease policy — if inflation data cooperate.
What is the next RBA rate?
As of May 2026, the official cash rate stands at 4.35% (Reserve Bank of Australia – cash rate target). The next rate will be determined at the June 16 meeting.
Market expectations
The ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures market — often called the ASX rate tracker — shows the implied probability of a rate change. As of mid-May, the futures curve suggests a roughly 40% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the June meeting, with the balance expecting no change (ASX – cash rate futures data).
ASX rate tracker
The tracker uses the difference between the 30-day futures price and the current cash rate to calculate the market’s implied probability. It’s updated daily and is the most widely watched near-term indicator for RBA moves (IG Australia – how the ASX rate tracker works).
For variable-rate mortgage holders, a cut at the June meeting would reduce monthly repayments on a $500,000 loan by about $75. If the RBA holds, the next chance is August — pushing relief further into 2026.
The pattern: The market is pricing in just under a coin flip for a June cut. That leaves the RBA room to surprise either way, making the ASX tracker essential reading in the week before the meeting.
What date does the RBA meet in 2026?
The full 2026 meeting calendar, as published by the RBA, includes eight two-day meetings (RBA Calendar – 2026 monetary policy meetings).
Full 2026 meeting calendar
- 2–3 February
- 16–17 March
- 4–5 May
- 15–16 June
- 3–4 August
- 14–15 September
- 2–3 November
- 7–8 December
How to find the schedule
The official calendar is available on the RBA website under “Schedules and Events.” It includes all monetary policy meetings, public holidays, and release dates for minutes and financial stability reviews. The 2027 schedule is typically released in December of the preceding year.
What this means: The RBA now meets roughly every six weeks, giving it eight decision points a year — down from 11 before 2024. Fewer meetings mean each decision carries more weight, and missing a meeting means waiting longer for the next chance to adjust rates.
What months does the RBA meet?
The RBA meets in every month except January. The eight meetings are spread across the remaining 11 months, with roughly one meeting every six weeks (Mozo – RBA meeting frequency explainer).
Meeting months
- February, March, May, June, August, September, November, December
Excluded months
January is the only month without a scheduled meeting. The board typically takes a summer break, and the first meeting of the year is always in early February.
The catch: Because January is skipped, the gap between the December meeting and the February meeting is the longest of the year — about eight weeks. That can amplify market speculation during the holiday period.
When can we expect the next interest rate cut?
Most analysts surveyed by Finder in May 2026 expect the RBA to begin cutting the cash rate in late 2026, conditional on inflation staying within the 2–3% target band (Finder – expert cash rate survey). Of the 42 experts polled, 74% correctly predicted the May 2026 hold.
Rate cut outlook
The RBA’s own forecasts, released in the May 2026 Statement on Monetary Policy, show underlying inflation declining gradually. Governor Michele Bullock has repeatedly stated the board needs “greater confidence” that inflation is sustainably returning to target before easing (RBA – media statements).
Forecast for 2026
- Next cut likely: Q4 2026 (consensus)
- Total cuts expected in 2026: 0–2 (depending on data)
- Cash rate year-end forecast: 3.85% – 4.35%
The RBA faces a delicate balance: cut too early and risk re-igniting inflation; cut too late and prolong the squeeze on borrowers. The ASX rate tracker will tighten or loosen its probability in real time as each CPI print lands.
Why this matters: For homeowners rolling off fixed rates in 2026, a cut in December rather than June means another six months of higher repayments. Track the RBA calendar and the ASX futures together to gauge the odds.
Timeline: 2026 RBA meetings and rate decisions
- 3 February 2026 – First meeting: cash rate held at 4.35% (RBA Calendar)
- 17 March 2026 – Second meeting: held (RBA Calendar)
- 5 May 2026 – Third meeting: held (RBA Calendar)
- 16 June 2026 – Next scheduled meeting and decision (RBA Calendar)
- Late 2026 – Potential first rate cut (market expectation)
The pattern: With no cuts as of May, the June meeting is the next opportunity for a change.
Clarity check: What we know and what remains uncertain
Confirmed facts
- Next meeting: June 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM AEST (RBA Calendar)
- All eight 2026 meeting dates published (RBA Calendar)
- Current cash rate: 4.35% (RBA cash rate target)
- No meeting in January (Mozo explainer)
What’s unclear
- Exact timing of the next rate cut
- Magnitude of future rate changes
- Whether the RBA will cut before the US Federal Reserve
What this means: While the next meeting date is certain, the timing of rate cuts remains uncertain pending economic data.
What the experts say
“We need to see a couple more quarters of subdued inflation before we can be confident that the tightening cycle is over and we can start easing.”
— Michele Bullock, Governor, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA media statement, May 2026)
“The case for a cut in June is not strong. The labour market remains tight and services inflation is sticky. We think the first move will come in November.”
— Sarah Johnson, Chief Economist, Australian Financial Markets Association (Finder expert survey, May 2026)
The consensus: Experts expect a cautious approach from the RBA, with a possible cut later in 2026.
What this means for you
The June 16 RBA meeting is the next real pivot point for Australian interest rates. Whether you’re a borrower, saver, or investor, the decision will ripple through mortgage repayments, savings rates, and the Australian dollar. For homeowners with variable-rate loans, the difference between a hold and a cut is about $75 per month on a $500,000 mortgage. Track the RBA calendar and the ASX rate tracker in the weeks ahead — and mark June 16 on your calendar. For borrowers, the implication is clear: hope for a cut, plan for a hold, and watch the data.
loanfin.com.au, mozo.com.au, aussie.com.au, finder.com.au, rba.gov.au, federalreserve.gov, youtube.com
Frequently asked questions
How many times does the RBA meet per year?
As of 2024, the RBA’s Monetary Policy Board meets eight times per year, roughly every six weeks. Previously it met 11 times annually (Mozo – RBA meeting frequency).
What time are RBA decisions announced?
Decisions are announced at 2:30 PM AEST (or AEDT during daylight saving) on the second day of the two-day meeting (RBA Calendar).
Does the RBA meet in January?
No. January is the only month without a scheduled Monetary Policy Board meeting. The first meeting of the year is always in early February (RBA Calendar).
Where can I find the official RBA meeting calendar?
The full schedule is published on the RBA website under “Schedules and Events” at rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/.
How does the ASX rate tracker work?
The ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures contract prices reflect market expectations for the average cash rate over the next 30 days. The difference between the futures price and the current cash rate implies the probability of a rate change at the upcoming meeting (IG Australia – rate tracker explainer).
What is the current official cash rate?
As of May 2026, the RBA’s official cash rate target is 4.35% (RBA cash rate target).
How are RBA rate decisions made?
The Monetary Policy Board — comprising the Governor, Deputy Governor, and six external members — meets for two days. The decision is based on the Board’s assessment of inflation, the labour market, global conditions, and financial stability, and is announced at 2:30 PM on the second day (RBA – monetary policy framework).
These FAQs cover the most common queries about RBA meetings and rate decisions.